Abstract
Objectives: To predict the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in next 10 years among adult population aged 30 years and older in Da Nang city. Method: A cross-sectional descriptive method was carried out over 1.788 people aged 30 years and older randomly selected in Da Nang city, the FINDRISC score was utilized after adjusted BMI and waist circumference to forecast an increasing incidence of risk of T2D in the next 10 years. Results: The prevalence of T2D accounted for 7.4%. Over 1.655 people who have not had the disease, risk classification according to the scale of FINDRISC shows that 16.5% of the subjects have medium to very high risk for T2D. It is projected that by 2030 the incidence of type 2 diabetes will increase by 6.1% in urban areas and 4.7% in rural areas. Conclusion: The results of the study show a rapid increase in the incidence of diabetes in the next 10 years. It is necessary to apply the adjusted Asian FINDRISC score to predict the risk of diabetes for the community through community screening programs.